Sensitivity study

10brands · prompt3 × 3

Universe 10brands

10 brands

1 variant(s) × 3 replicate(s)

3 of 3 trials complete

c6999271

Stability by metric

Spread across trials, in score points. A pair counts as unstable when its standard deviation across trials exceeds 5 points.

Metric	Pairs	Mean SD	Median SD	Max SD	Within variant	Between variants
Cluny Affinity	45	1.03	0.996	2.3	1.03	—
Brand affinity	45	1.222	1.018	2.851	1.222	—
Market proximity	45	1.152	0.983	2.837	1.152	—

Compared with run 4d388d02 (published, universe brands, 100 brands). Only pairs present in both are counted.

Metric	Pairs	Mean delta	MAE	RMSE	Max delta	Pearson r	Spearman ρ
Cluny Affinity	45	2.332	3.103	3.618	6.892	0.98	0.983
Brand affinity	45	-0.457	2.366	2.862	6.833	0.986	0.984
Market proximity	45	4.041	4.275	5.003	9.806	0.974	0.961

Each trial is preserved as its own affinity run and can be exported on its own with brand-map:export.

Run	Variant	Replicate	Status	Complete pairs
9020637b	prompt3 9fb2cfab52fb	1	completed	45
33fb4c3f	prompt3 9fb2cfab52fb	2	completed	45
1c66535d	prompt3 9fb2cfab52fb	3	completed	45

Ranked by spread across trials, worst first, for each metric.

Pair	Mean	SD	Range	Within variant	Between variants	Production	Delta
Aesop · Flamingo Estate	78.575	2.3	4.5	2.3	—	79.65	-1.075
Aesop · EltaMD	46.171	2.155	4.288	2.155	—	47.275	-1.104
MALIN+GOETZ · Merit	69.45	1.889	3.662	1.889	—	64.438	5.012
Flamingo Estate · Supergoop!	51.042	1.86	3.288	1.86	—	51.95	-0.908
EltaMD · Flamingo Estate	35.009	1.804	3.363	1.804	—	34.163	0.846
Aesop · Merit	65.213	1.674	3.325	1.674	—	62	3.213
Flamingo Estate · Merit	60.408	1.574	2.775	1.574	—	57.825	2.583
Merit · Rare Beauty	79.021	1.533	2.888	1.533	—	80.263	-1.242
EltaMD · Merit	57.137	1.363	2.712	1.363	—	53.575	3.562
Aesop · Rare Beauty	41.104	1.312	2.413	1.312	—	42.125	-1.021
EltaMD · Supergoop!	73.867	1.284	2.312	1.284	—	75.888	-2.021
Le Labo · Rare Beauty	42.129	1.281	2.562	1.281	—	38.625	3.504
Rare Beauty · Supergoop!	75.059	1.227	2.137	1.227	—	71.725	3.334
MALIN+GOETZ · Rare Beauty	50.109	1.21	2.15	1.21	—	49.275	0.834
EltaMD · Oribe	45.108	1.164	2.075	1.164	—	42.125	2.983
La Mer · Merit	54.917	1.119	2.238	1.119	—	50.5	4.417
Aesop · MALIN+GOETZ	85.4	1.108	2.213	1.108	—	84.7	0.7
Flamingo Estate · Le Labo	77.879	1.07	2.137	1.07	—	78.2	-0.321
Flamingo Estate · Rare Beauty	36.305	1.063	2	1.063	—	38.613	-2.308
La Mer · Oribe	73.28	1.041	2	1.041	—	67.45	5.83
La Mer · Rare Beauty	39.909	1.032	1.812	1.032	—	35.588	4.321
EltaMD · MALIN+GOETZ	54.087	1	1.937	1	—	53.363	0.724
Oribe · Supergoop!	58.542	0.996	1.8	0.996	—	52.738	5.804
Oribe · Rare Beauty	48.134	0.963	1.912	0.963	—	44.9	3.234
EltaMD · Le Labo	37.4	0.953	1.675	0.953	—	33.863	3.537